Forex Trading Simulator
This
forex trading simulator
demonstrates the performance of a
forex trading system
whose
past accuracy and payoff ratio (avearge win/average loss) are known.
The simulation is based on the following assumptions:
1. The long-term accuracy of the trading system (as seen over a few hundred simulated trades) will stay
close
to its past accuracy, while the short-term accuracy will
vary
.
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2. The risk and reward parameters will be the
same
for all the trades, leading to a fixed payoff ratio.
3. The trader will take
all the signals
that the trading system generates (the trader has a high level of
confidence
in the system).
4. The outcome of any single trade is
absolutely random
; the probability that it turns out as a profit or as a loss is controlled by the accuracy of the trading system.
The calculator is made up of three parts which are described in detail below:
1. Controls & Performance Panel
The controls panel allows you to set the parameters that will guide the simulation. You can change all the cells on the controls panel that are coloured in
dark green
. Enter your trading system and money management system constraints on the System Controls panel. The Account Controls panel allows you to specify your starting account balance, the target return and if the profits are withdrawn during the course of the simulated trading. The values that you enter on these two controlling panels are used as the inputs for the generation of the trading results shown in the Simulated Account Activity Report, located at the bottom of the page. The information in this report is processed to calculate some of the common trading performance statistics which are displayed on the Performance Panel.
The statistics are generated for
two different time periods
- for the time period prior to the achievement of the target return (the "Pre-Target" column) and for the whole period of the simulated trading (the "All" column).
The simulator will
automatically recalculate everything
each time you change one of the controlling cells or press one of the "Recalculate" buttons on the page. You can
view the description
of the panel elements by placing your cursor over their names. Alternatively, you can click on some of the elements to visit those parts of the site where they are described in more detail.
2. Performance Charts
This section includes two
interactive charts
which plot the values of the equity and the drawdown by using the data in the "Equity" and the "Drawdown" columns of the Simulated Account Activity Report.
3. Simulated Account Activity Report
This part of the calculator provides
detailed trade-by-trade report
of the simulated trading. The returns are divided into two columns (for easy viewing) depending on if they are profits or losses. The Equity column shows how the equity develops with each trade and profit withdrawal (when applicable). The Withdrawals column displays the size and the timing of profit withdrawals which are made in accordance with the settings chosen on the Account Controls panel. The Drawdown column measures the distance of the current equity position from the preceding equity peak (when it's below the peak).
Controls & Performance Panel
System Controls
Â
Performance
Pre-Target
All
Past Accuracy
Actual Accuracy
Payoff Ratio
Total Profit or Loss
Mathem. Expectation
Percent Return
Percent Risked
Max Drawdown
Math.Exp.*% Risked
Max Drawdown in %
Win (%)
Drawdown Time
Loss (%)
Number of Profits
Exp # of trades to TR
Number of Trades
100
Account Controls
Max. Consec.Profits
Starting Balance
Max. Consec.Losses
Target Return (TR)
Total Withdrawn
Profit Withdrawals
No
%
#
Lowest Account Value
Size of Withdrawals
Highest Account Value
Every % of Profit
Max % Drawdown
Every # of Trades
Reward-to-Risk Ratio
Performance Charts
Simulated Account Activity Report
â„–
Return
Profit
Loss
Equity
Withdrawals
Drawdown
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